Best Revival of a Musical
1. Gypsy (definite)
2. South Pacific (definite)
3. Sunday in the Park with George (definite)
4. Grease (definite)
Commentary: All four of the shows above are guaranteed nominations because they are the only four shows eligible in the category this season. At the moment "Gypsy" has great momentum and buzz and I believe has a good chance at winning the award for Best Revival of a Musical. "Sunday" is a critically and somewhat financially successful revival of a brilliant piece and Roundabout has proven that it can win the Tony for Best Revival of a Musical ("Cabaret" in 1998, "Nine" in 2003, "Assassins" in 2004, and "The Pajama Game" in 2006). "South Pacific" is a big and ambitious project and I would never count out a production before it even opened, but at the same time remember that Lincoln Center has only won once in the category of Best Revival of a Musical ("Carousel" in 1994) and only once in Best Musical ("Contact" in 2000). LCT traditionally does much better with revivals of plays, performance awards, and set, lighting, and costume awards. Right now I think the Tony will go to "Gypsy" as a way of recognizing Arthur Laurents who was scoffed at by many when putting this revival together. "South Pacific" definitely has a good chance at winning this award, but I think in terms of campaigning in this category, Roundabout (for "Sunday") and the commercial producers (Roger Berlind and the Frankel Group) of Gypsy have the edge."Grease" will be nominated by default, and has zero chance of getting this prize.
1. Gypsy (definite)
2. South Pacific (definite)
3. Sunday in the Park with George (definite)
4. Grease (definite)
Commentary: All four of the shows above are guaranteed nominations because they are the only four shows eligible in the category this season. At the moment "Gypsy" has great momentum and buzz and I believe has a good chance at winning the award for Best Revival of a Musical. "Sunday" is a critically and somewhat financially successful revival of a brilliant piece and Roundabout has proven that it can win the Tony for Best Revival of a Musical ("Cabaret" in 1998, "Nine" in 2003, "Assassins" in 2004, and "The Pajama Game" in 2006). "South Pacific" is a big and ambitious project and I would never count out a production before it even opened, but at the same time remember that Lincoln Center has only won once in the category of Best Revival of a Musical ("Carousel" in 1994) and only once in Best Musical ("Contact" in 2000). LCT traditionally does much better with revivals of plays, performance awards, and set, lighting, and costume awards. Right now I think the Tony will go to "Gypsy" as a way of recognizing Arthur Laurents who was scoffed at by many when putting this revival together. "South Pacific" definitely has a good chance at winning this award, but I think in terms of campaigning in this category, Roundabout (for "Sunday") and the commercial producers (Roger Berlind and the Frankel Group) of Gypsy have the edge."Grease" will be nominated by default, and has zero chance of getting this prize.
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