Current Tony Award Nomination Predictions
Each nominee in the category is ranked from 1-4 or 1-5 with 1 being the most likely to win, and 4 or 5 being the most likely to either be not nominated, or not really considered to win the Tony.
Best Musical
1. Passing Strange
2. In the Heights
3. A Catered Affair
4. Xanadu
Best Play
1. August:
2. The Seafarer
3. The 39 Steps
4. Rock 'n Roll
Best Revival of a Musical
1. South Pacific
2. Gypsy
3. Sunday in the Park with George
4. Grease
Best Revival of a Play
1. Top Girls
2. Macbeth
3. The Homecoming
4. Les Liasons Dangereuses
Best Actor in a Musical
1. Lin-Manuel Miranda, In the Heights
2. Daniel Evans, Sunday in the Park with George
3. Tom Wopat, A Catered Affair
4. Paulo Szot, South Pacific
5. Stew, Passing Strange
Best Actress in a Musical
1. Patti LuPone, Gypsy
2. Faith Prince, A Catered Affair
3. Kelli O'Hara, South Pacific
4. Jenna Russell, Sunday in the Park with George
5. Kerry Butler, Xanadu
Best Actor in a Play
1. Patrick Stewart, Macbeth
2. Kevin Kline, Cyrano de Bergerac
3. Nathan Lane, November
4.
5. Norbert Leo Butz, Is He Dead?
Best Actress in a Play
1. Deanna Dunagan, August:
4. Laura Linney, Les Liasons Dangereuses
5. Anika Noni Rose, Cat on a Hot Tin Roof
1. Daniel Breaker, Passing Strange
2. Boyd Gaines, Gypsy
3. Harvey Fierstein, A Catered Affair
4. Danny Burstein, South Pacific
5. Robin De Jesus, In the Heights
Best Featured Actress in a Musical
1. Laura Benanti, Gypsy
2. Loretta Able Sayres, South Pacific
3. Olga Merediz, In the Heights
4. Mary Testa, Xanadu
5. Andrea Martin, Young Frankenstein
Best Featured Actor in a Play
1. James Earl Jones, Cat on a Hot Tin Roof
2. Jim Norton, The Seafarer
3. Raul Esparza, The Homecoming
4. Peter Gallagher, The Country Girl
5. David Morse, The Seafarer
Best Featured Actress in a Play
1. Kate Fleetwood, Macbeth
2. Martha Plimpton, Top Girls
3. Christine Baranski, Boeing-Boeing
4. Rondi Reed, August: Osage County
5. Rosie Perez, The Ritz
Best Director of a Musical
1. Bartlett Sher, South Pacific
2.
3. Annie Dorsen, Passing Strange
4. Arthur Laurents, Gypsy (if eligible, if not then John Doyle for "A Catered Affair)
Best Director of a Play
1. Anna D. Shapiro, August:
2. Rupert Goold, Macbeth
3. Daniel Sullivan, The Homecoming
4. Trevor Nunn, Rock 'n Roll
Best Choreography
1. Andy Blankenbuehler, In the Heights
2. Rob Ashford, Cry-Baby
3. Susan Stroman, Young Frankenstein
4. Dan Knechtges, Xanadu
Best Book for a Musical
1. Stew, Passing Strange
2. Douglas Carter Beane, Xanadu
3. Harvey Fierstein, A Catered Affair
4. Quiara Alegria Hudes, In the Heights
Best Score
1. Lin-Manuel Miranda, In the Heights
2. Stew and Heidi Rodewald, Passing Strange
3. Nick Blaemire, Glory Days
4. John Bucchino, A Catered Affair
Best Orchestrations
1. Stew and Heidi Rodewald, Passing Strange
2. Jesse Vargas, Glory Days
3. Alex Lacamoire and Bill Sherman, In the Heights
4. Doug Besterman, Young Frankenstein
Best Set Design for a Musical
1. Timothy Bird & The Knifedge Creative Network and David Farley, Sunday in the Park with George
2. Michael Yeargan, South Pacific
3. Anna Louizos, In the Heights
4. Robin Wagner, Young Frankenstein
Best Lighting Design for a Musical
1. Donald Holder, South Pacific
2. Kevin Adams, Passing Strange
3. Howell Binkley, In the Heights
4. Mark Lanks, Glory Days
Best Costume Design for a Musical
1. Catherine Zuber, South Pacific
2. Paul Tazewell, In the Heights
3. Ann Hould-Ward, A Catered Affair
4. David Zinn, Xanadu
Best Sound Design for a Musical
1. Scott Lehrer, South Pacific
2. Acme Sound Partners, In the Heights
3. Tom Morse, Passing Strange
4. Dan Moses Schreier, Gypsy
Best Set Design for a Play
1. Todd Rosenthal, August:
2. Michael Yeargan, Cymbeline
3. Anthony Ward, Macbeth
4. Scott Pask, The Ritz
Best Lighting Design for a Play
1. Neil Austin, The Seafarer
2. Howard Harrison, Macbeth
3. Kevin Adams, The 39 Steps
4. Ann G. Wrightson, August:
Best Costume Design for a Play
1. Jess Goldstein, Cymbeline
2. Martin Pakledinaz, Is He Dead?
3. Ana Kuzmanic, August: Osage County
4. Laura Bauer, Top Girls
Best Sound Design for a Play
1. Richard Woodbury, August:
2. Matthew Evans, The Seafarer
3. Simon Baker, Boeing-Boeing
4. Adam Cork, Macbeth

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